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It would be nice if there was a formula somewhere that high school players could use to calculate their chances of getting a college athletic scholarship. All they would have to do is to enter their stats, maybe their high school or club team, and the formula would tell them their chances and even indicate how much to expect! Wouldn that be nice?
Unfortunately, no such formula exists. And while various recruiting services may promise you a scholarship, the reality is that unless you are a nationally recruited athlete, there is no sure thing. The entire college athletic recruiting process comes down to a maze of dozens of possibilities that leads to an agreement between one player and one coach.
However, there is some information available that you can use to as guide posts through the process. The first guide post is knowing what your chances are of playing at the college level. If you don play, you can receive a scholarship. The second post is understanding the chances for receiving the scholarships.
So first you have to figure out what your chances are of playing at the next level. There are several to try first. The NCAA has a table showing the probability of a high school athlete playing at the next level. However, this includes only basketball,basketball, cheap Sabres jersey
football , baseball, men ice hockey, and men soccer.
The Want an Athletic Scholarship infographicinfographic wholesale Sabres jerseys
shows the percentage of high school athletes playing for D1 schools. While it includes all sports, it has its own limitations. It only includes NCAA D1 schools and uses all high school players instead of seniors only.
If neither of the shortcuts work for your situation, try the following:
First, you need to figure you how many people are in the possible pool to play at the college level.
Go to the National Federation of State High School Associations Participation Statistics. Select your year and sport. You might include the state if you are looking at a particularly large state where colleges don necessarily recruit out of state. However, to start with it probably best to select for states. The results will be broken out by state and gender anyway.
The totals will appear at the bottom. Since they are for all high school students, you have to take only a percentage of them. There are several considerations for calculating the percentage.percentage. Sabres jerseys china
You want only seniors which means no more than 25% although you can make the case that even fewer students participate as seniors compared to freshman.
Then there is what percentage are actually good enough to play at the college level. I think 10% is a safe number to start with but much will depend on your sport and your location.
Go to The Equity in Athletics Data Analysis Cutting Tool
Select selected data. The Aggregated data for a group institutions should work except it doesn seem to calculate participation for all sports. On the next screen you can place limits on the type of schools to include. Since you trying to get a general idea for the chances of playing at the next level, just use the All button on the bottom.
After you click select a year and then scroll down to the Sport Code and select the desired sport. Next, select the button.
You save the file or open it directly into a spreadsheet. The information you looking for is the Participants column. Total the column and you have the number of players for the sport for the year you selected.
Now you have to decide what percentage you want to use for calculating the number of freshman participants. While 25% makes sense, you need to take into consideration that generally not all freshman make it to their senior year.
Divide the number for step 1 with the number by step 2 for an estimated percentage of high school players who will play in college. Hopefully, this process shows you that this a best guess number.
What about the second part, figuring out your chances for an athletic scholarship?
You can use the spreadsheet to figure out the average number of participants by sanctioning body and division.
Match the average to the maximum number of scholarships allowed for each division. If you looking at D3 schools, obviously your chances of getting an athletic scholarship are zero since they don give out such scholarships.
Keep in mind that these numbers are maximum allowed. That doesn mean all scholarships are fully funded. The NCAA and the schools are really the only ones that know what percentage of scholarships are fully funded and they aren telling.
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sport is a head count or equivalency sport. Equivalency sports allow scholarships to be divided into partial scholarships where head count sports require one scholarship per player. You can see an example of the possible scholarships calculations at 11.7 Reality Check: College Baseball Scholarships.
Everything clear now? Of course, it isn There really isn enough information to work with which is why there the hoped for magic formula doesn exist.
But if nothing else, it should be clear that your chances of getting a scholarship are low. According to the Want an Athletic Scholarship infographic, only 1/3 of D1 athletes have athletic scholarships. The percentage isn likely to be higher for D2 and we know that D3 athletes don receive scholarships. Just in general, that would mean that only one in five college athletes (not high school) receive some sort of athletic scholarship.
Some sports will have better odds than others. And you may be good enough to be one of the lucky ones. But given the probabilities of receiving a scholarship and the chances of injury, smart players will have a solid plan for attending and paying for college that doesn depend on an athletic scholarship.